Up to Thaksin
Re: "Parties shed pre-poll blood", (BP, Feb 27).
We are approaching the most expensive and consequential election in modern times. After eight years of increasingly authoritarian oversight, the ruling elites are desperate to maintain control, at any cost.
This will almost certainly mean jumping into bed with the Pheu Thai Party, the likely winner of over 200 seats in the election, a most unpalatable prospect, since the Powers That Be (TPTB) have spent the last 20 years trying to rid the country of their nemesis, Thaksin Shinawatra, who still controls that party.
Equally, if Pheu Thai joins a coalition of pro-military parties, simply to ensure Thaksin's jail-free return to Thailand, surely this would prove most distasteful to its supporters, especially those red shirts who have yet to distance themselves from Pheu Thai.
Herein lies the root cause of the recent spat between Future Forward Party (FFP) co-founder Piyabutr Saengkanokkul and Move Forward Party (MFP) leader Pita Limjaroenrat, on the matter of election strategy.
Pita has been encouraging voters to think that together with Pheu Thai, MFP will have a chance to form a coalition government if Pheu Thai wins over 200 seats and MFP can win at least 50 seats. But this is clearly a dream on Pita's part.
MFP is anathema to the powers-that-be. Therefore the party will never be allowed a place in any coalition controlled by them.
Piyabutr says MFP should distinguish itself from all other parties by positioning itself as the new power against the old powers.
Don't expect to ride into government on the back of Pheu Thai.
Go for broke, don't compromise. MFP is the only party with a clear ideology and a campaign platform that addresses Thailand's structural challenges. People will get the message, eventually.
Piyabutr is probably correct that unless the Pheu Thai Party makes a single momentous campaign promise, that it will not under any circumstances join with any pro-military party to form the next government.
The country's rural majority deserves such a commitment. Will Thaksin allow it?
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